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CIE 9231 2025 Nov Paper 42 Q3

A Level / CIE / FS

CIE 9231 2025 Nov Paper 42 Paper · Question 3

题目

Problem

A traffic expert claims that the number of breakdowns occurring each day on a busy section of a motorway follows a Poisson distribution with mean 0.70.7. The number of breakdowns each day over a 200-day period was recorded. The following table contains the observed frequencies together with some of the expected frequencies using the expert’s distribution.

Number of breakdowns per day012345\ge 5
Observed frequency887326733
Expected frequency99.317mm24.3335.6780.994nn

(a) Find the value of mm and the value of nn, correct to 3 decimal places.

[2]

(b) Carry out a goodness of fit test at the 5% significance level to investigate the expert’s claim.

[6]
题目中文翻译

一位交通专家声称,在一段繁忙高速公路上每天发生的故障次数服从均值为 0.70.7 的 Poisson 分布。记录了 200 天内每天的故障次数。下表给出了观察频数,以及使用该专家的分布得到的一些期望频数。

每天故障次数012345\ge 5
观察频数887326733
期望频数99.317mm24.3335.6780.994nn

(a) 求 mmnn 的值,精确到 3 位小数。

(b) 在 5% 显著性水平下进行拟合优度检验,以调查该专家的声称。

解答