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IAL 2021 June Q3

A Level / Edexcel / S1

IAL 2021 June Paper · Question 3

题目

Problem

A random sample of 100 carrots is taken from a farm and their lengths, LL cm, recorded. The data are summarised in the following table.

Length, LL cmFrequency, ffClass mid point, xx cm
5L<85\leq L<856.5
8L<108\leq L<10139
10L<1210\leq L<121611
12L<1512\leq L<152513.5
15L<2015\leq L<203017.5
20L<2820\leq L<281124

A histogram is drawn to represent these data.

The bar representing the class 5L<85\leq L<8 is 1.5 cm wide and 1 cm high.

(a) Find the width and height of the bar representing the class 15L<2015\leq L<20

(3)

(b) Use linear interpolation to estimate the median length of these carrots.

(2)

(c) Estimate

(i) the mean length of these carrots,

(2)

(ii) the standard deviation of the lengths of these carrots.

(3)

A supermarket will only buy carrots with length between 9 cm and 22 cm.

(d) Estimate the proportion of carrots from the farm that the supermarket will buy.

(2)

Any carrots that the supermarket does not buy are sold as animal feed. The farm makes a profit of 2.2 pence on each carrot sold to the supermarket, a profit of 0.8 pence on each carrot longer than 22 cm and a loss of 1.2 pence on each carrot shorter than 9 cm.

(e) Find an estimate of the mean profit per carrot made by the farm.

(2)

解答

(a)

解法一

思路

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直方图中面积代表频数。已知第一组的频数 5 对应图上面积 1.5×1=1.51.5\times1=1.5,所以频数 30 对应的面积是 30÷530\div5 倍。再用新组距的图上宽度求高度。

答题过程

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The class width 5L<85\leq L<8 is 3 cm and is drawn as 1.5 cm, so the scale is

3 cm in data=1.5 cm on the histogram.\begin{align*} 3\text{ cm in data}=1.5\text{ cm on the histogram}. \end{align*}

For 15L<2015\leq L<20, the class width is 5 cm, so the width of the bar is

5×1.53=2.5 cm.\begin{align*} 5\times\frac{1.5}{3}=2.5\text{ cm}. \end{align*}

The first bar has area

1.5×1=1.5,\begin{align*} 1.5\times1=1.5, \end{align*}

and this represents frequency 5. The frequency 30 bar must therefore have area

1.5×305=9.\begin{align*} 1.5\times\frac{30}{5}=9. \end{align*}

Hence its height is

92.5=3.6 cm.\begin{align*} \frac{9}{2.5}=3.6\text{ cm}. \end{align*}

(b)

解法一

思路

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总频数是 100,所以中位数在第 50 个数据附近。累计频数到 10L<1210\leq L<12 为 34,因此中位数落在 12L<1512\leq L<15 这一组。

答题过程

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The cumulative frequency before the class 12L<1512\leq L<15 is

5+13+16=34.\begin{align*} 5+13+16=34. \end{align*}

The median is the 50th value, so it is 5034=1650-34=16 values into the class 12L<1512\leq L<15.

Using linear interpolation,

median=12+1625×3=13.92.\text{median} =12+\frac{16}{25}\times3 =13.92.

Therefore the median length is approximately

13.9 cm.\begin{align*} 13.9\text{ cm}. \end{align*}

(c)(i)

解法一

思路

展开

分组数据估计平均数时,用组中值代表该组所有数据。

答题过程

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Using the class midpoints,

fx=5(6.5)+13(9)+16(11)+25(13.5)+30(17.5)+11(24)=1452.\begin{aligned} \sum fx =&\,5(6.5)+13(9)+16(11)\\ &\quad+25(13.5)+30(17.5)+11(24)\\ =&\,1452. \end{aligned}

Hence

xˉ=1452100=14.52.\begin{align*} \bar x=\frac{1452}{100}=14.52. \end{align*}

So the estimated mean length is

14.5 cm.\begin{align*} 14.5\text{ cm}. \end{align*}

(c)(ii)

解法一

思路

展开

继续使用组中值,先求 fx2\sum fx^2,再代入总体标准差公式。

答题过程

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Using the class midpoints,

fx2=5(6.52)+13(92)+16(112)+25(13.52)+30(17.52)+11(242)=23280.\begin{aligned} \sum fx^2 =&\,5(6.5^2)+13(9^2)+16(11^2)\\ &\quad+25(13.5^2)+30(17.5^2)+11(24^2)\\ =&\,23280. \end{aligned}

Therefore

σ=fx2100xˉ2=2328010014.522=21.9696=4.687.\begin{aligned} \sigma =&\,\sqrt{\frac{\sum fx^2}{100}-\bar x^2}\\ =&\,\sqrt{\frac{23280}{100}-14.52^2}\\ =&\,\sqrt{21.9696}\\ =&\,4.687\ldots. \end{aligned}

So the estimated standard deviation is

4.69 cm.\begin{align*} 4.69\text{ cm}. \end{align*}

(d)

解法一

思路

展开

需要估计 9L229\leq L\leq22 的比例。把完全包含的组加上,再用线性假设处理边界组:8L<108\leq L<10 中取一半,20L<2820\leq L<28 中取 20202222 的四分之一。

答题过程

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The estimated number of carrots with 9L<229\leq L<22 is

12(13)+16+25+30+28(11).\begin{align*} \frac{1}{2}(13)+16+25+30+\frac{2}{8}(11). \end{align*}

So

6.5+16+25+30+2.75=80.25.\begin{align*} 6.5+16+25+30+2.75=80.25. \end{align*}

Therefore the estimated proportion is

80.25100=0.8025.\begin{align*} \frac{80.25}{100}=0.8025. \end{align*}

(e)

解法一

思路

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按 (d) 的估计,买走的是 80.2580.25 个。低于 9 cm 的估计数量是 5+12(13)=11.55+\frac12(13)=11.5,高于 22 cm 的估计数量是 68(11)=8.25\frac68(11)=8.25。分别乘以对应利润,再除以 100。

答题过程

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The estimated number of carrots sold to the supermarket is 80.2580.25.

The estimated number shorter than 9 cm is

5+12(13)=11.5.\begin{align*} 5+\frac{1}{2}(13)=11.5. \end{align*}

The estimated number longer than 22 cm is

68(11)=8.25.\begin{align*} \frac{6}{8}(11)=8.25. \end{align*}

So the estimated mean profit per carrot is

2.2(80.25)+0.8(8.25)1.2(11.5)100=176.55+6.613.8100=1.6935.\begin{aligned} \frac{2.2(80.25)+0.8(8.25)-1.2(11.5)}{100} =&\,\frac{176.55+6.6-13.8}{100}\\ =&\,1.6935. \end{aligned}

Therefore the estimated mean profit is

1.7 pence per carrot.\begin{align*} 1.7\text{ pence per carrot}. \end{align*}