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IAL 2024 May Q3

A Level / Edexcel / S1

IAL 2024 May Paper · Question 3

题目

Problem

The lengths, xx mm, of 5050 pebbles are summarised in the table below.

LengthFrequency
20x<3020\leqslant x<3022
30x<3230\leqslant x<321616
32x<3632\leqslant x<362020
36x<4036\leqslant x<4088
40x<4540\leqslant x<4533
45x<5045\leqslant x<5011

A histogram is drawn to represent these data. The bar representing the class 32x<3632\leqslant x<36 is 2.52.5 cm wide and 7.57.5 cm tall.

(a) Calculate the width and the height of the bar representing the class 30x<3230\leqslant x<32.

(3)

(b) Using linear interpolation, estimate the median of xx.

(2)

The weight, ww grams, of each of the 5050 pebbles is coded using

10y=w20.10y=w-20.

These coded data are summarised by

y=104,y2=233.54.\sum y=104,\qquad \sum y^2=233.54.

(c) Show that the mean of ww is 40.840.8.

(2)

(d) Calculate the standard deviation of ww.

(4)

The weight of a pebble recorded as 40.840.8 grams is added to the sample.

(e) Without carrying out any further calculations, state, giving a reason, what effect this would have on the value of

(i) the mean of ww

(ii) the standard deviation of ww

(3)

解答

(a)

解法一

思路

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Histogram 里面积代表频数。已知 32x<3632\leqslant x<36 这组频数 2020,图上面积是 2.5×7.5=18.752.5\times7.5=18.75。先确定面积比例,再算 30x<3230\leqslant x<32 这组的面积和宽高。

答题过程

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For 32x<3632\leqslant x<36, the area on the histogram is

2.5(7.5)=18.75.\begin{align*} 2.5(7.5)=18.75. \end{align*}

This represents a frequency of 2020.

For 30x<3230\leqslant x<32, the frequency is 1616, so the area is

1620(18.75)=15.\begin{align*} \frac{16}{20}(18.75)=15. \end{align*}

The class width 30x<3230\leqslant x<32 is half of the class width 32x<3632\leqslant x<36, so the bar width is

24(2.5)=1.25 cm.\begin{align*} \frac{2}{4}(2.5)=1.25\text{ cm}. \end{align*}

Therefore the height is

151.25=12 cm.\begin{align*} \frac{15}{1.25}=12\text{ cm}. \end{align*}

(b)

解法一

思路

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5050 个数据的中位数位置取第 2525 个。到 3232 mm 前累计频数是 1818,所以中位数在 32x<3632\leqslant x<36 这一组里。

答题过程

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The median is the 2525th value.

The cumulative frequency before the class 32x<3632\leqslant x<36 is

2+16=18.\begin{align*} 2+16=18. \end{align*}

Using linear interpolation,

median=32+251820(3632)=32+720(4)=33.4.\begin{align*} \text{median} =&\,32+\frac{25-18}{20}(36-32)\\[3mm] =&\,32+\frac{7}{20}(4)\\[3mm] =&\,33.4. \end{align*}

So the estimated median is

33.4 mm.\begin{align*} 33.4\text{ mm}. \end{align*}

解法二

思路

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直观比例插值法。插值的本质是假设数据在区间内均匀分布。 中位数代表第 2525 个值。在区间 32x<3632\leqslant x<36 之前累计已有 1818 个值,因此中位数是该区间内的第 2518=725 - 18 = 7 个值。 由于该区间内共有 2020 个值,且区间宽度为 3632=436 - 32 = 4 mm。 中位数在该区间内行进的比例为:

720=35%\begin{align*} \frac{7}{20} = 35\% \end{align*}

对应实际长度为:

35%×4=1.4 mm\begin{align*} 35\% \times 4 = 1.4\text{ mm} \end{align*}

所以中位数估算为:

32+1.4=33.4 mm\begin{align*} 32 + 1.4 = 33.4\text{ mm} \end{align*}

这种比例插值法避免了直接套用抽象公式,完全依靠数据在区间内均匀分布的直观占比来求解。

答题过程

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The median is the 2525th value. The cumulative frequency before the class interval [32,36)[32, 36) is 2+16=182 + 16 = 18. Therefore, the median is the 2518=725 - 18 = 7th value inside the interval [32,36)[32, 36) which contains 2020 values.

The width of this interval is:

3632=4 mm.\begin{align*} 36 - 32 = 4\text{ mm}. \end{align*}

The proportion of distance the median travels into this interval is:

720=0.35.\begin{align*} \frac{7}{20} = 0.35. \end{align*}

The distance into the interval is:

0.35×4=1.4 mm.\begin{align*} 0.35 \times 4 = 1.4\text{ mm}. \end{align*}

Thus, the estimated median is:

median=32+1.4=33.4 mm.\begin{align*} \text{median} =&\,\, 32 + 1.4\\[3mm] =&\,\, 33.4\text{ mm}. \end{align*}

(c)

解法一

思路

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10y=w2010y=w-20

w=10y+20.\begin{align*} w=10y+20. \end{align*}

所以平均数也满足

wˉ=10yˉ+20.\begin{align*} \bar{w}=10\bar{y}+20. \end{align*}

答题过程

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The mean of yy is

yˉ=10450=2.08.\begin{align*} \bar{y}=\frac{104}{50}=2.08. \end{align*}

Since

w=10y+20,\begin{align*} w=10y+20, \end{align*}

we have

wˉ=10yˉ+20=10(2.08)+20=40.8.\begin{align*} \bar{w} =&\,10\bar{y}+20\\[3mm] =&\,10(2.08)+20\\[3mm] =&\,40.8. \end{align*}

(d)

解法一

思路

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先求 yy 的标准差,再乘以 1010。因为 w=10y+20w=10y+20,加 2020 不改变标准差,乘以 1010 会让标准差乘以 1010

答题过程

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First,

Var(Y)=y250(y50)2=233.5450(10450)2=4.67084.3264=0.3444.\begin{align*} \operatorname{Var}(Y) =&\,\frac{\sum y^2}{50}-\left(\frac{\sum y}{50}\right)^2\\[3mm] =&\,\frac{233.54}{50}-\left(\frac{104}{50}\right)^2\\[3mm] =&\,4.6708-4.3264\\[3mm] =&\,0.3444. \end{align*}

So

sd(Y)=0.3444.\begin{align*} \operatorname{sd}(Y)=\sqrt{0.3444}. \end{align*}

Since w=10y+20w=10y+20,

sd(W)=10sd(Y)=100.3444=5.868.\begin{align*} \operatorname{sd}(W) =&\,10\operatorname{sd}(Y)\\[3mm] =&\,10\sqrt{0.3444}\\[3mm] =&\,5.868\ldots. \end{align*}

Therefore

sd(W)=5.87 g\begin{align*} \operatorname{sd}(W)=5.87\text{ g} \end{align*}

to 33 significant figures.

解法二

思路

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原始统计量变换法。不先計算 yy 的標準差再進行轉換,而是直接通過編碼公式 w=10y+20w = 10y + 20 展開推導出 ww 的原始統計量 w\sum ww2\sum w^2。 由定義可得:

w=(10y+20)=10y+20n\begin{align*} \sum w = \sum(10y + 20) = 10\sum y + 20n \end{align*}

w2=(10y+20)2=100y2+400y+400n\begin{align*} \sum w^2 = \sum(10y + 20)^2 = 100\sum y^2 + 400\sum y + 400n \end{align*}

分別代入已知的 y=104\sum y = 104y2=233.54\sum y^2 = 233.54n=50n = 50 算出其值,最後代入標準差公式 sd(W)=w2nwˉ2\operatorname{sd}(W) = \sqrt{\frac{\sum w^2}{n} - \bar{w}^2} 計算。這種方法可以加深學生對統計量(和、平方和)在線性變換下的代數性質的理解。

答题过程

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We transform the summary statistics from yy to ww.

Since w=10y+20w = 10y + 20 and the number of observations is n=50n = 50:

w=10y+20n=10(104)+20(50)=1040+1000=2040\begin{align*} \sum w =&\,\, 10\sum y + 20n\\[3mm] =&\,\, 10(104) + 20(50)\\[3mm] =&\,\, 1040 + 1000\\[3mm] =&\,\, 2040 \end{align*}

And for the sum of squares:

w2=(10y+20)2=100y2+400y+400n=100(233.54)+400(104)+400(50)=23354+41600+20000=84954\begin{align*} \sum w^2 =&\,\, \sum (10y + 20)^2\\[3mm] =&\,\, 100\sum y^2 + 400\sum y + 400n\\[3mm] =&\,\, 100(233.54) + 400(104) + 400(50)\\[3mm] =&\,\, 23354 + 41600 + 20000\\[3mm] =&\,\, 84954 \end{align*}

Now calculate the mean and variance of ww:

wˉ=204050=40.8\begin{align*} \bar{w} = \frac{2040}{50} = 40.8 \end{align*} Var(W)=w2nwˉ2=8495450(40.8)2=1699.081664.64=34.44\begin{align*} \operatorname{Var}(W) =&\,\, \frac{\sum w^2}{n} - \bar{w}^2\\[3mm] =&\,\, \frac{84954}{50} - (40.8)^2\\[3mm] =&\,\, 1699.08 - 1664.64\\[3mm] =&\,\, 34.44 \end{align*}

Finally, calculate the standard deviation:

sd(W)=34.44=5.868\begin{align*} \operatorname{sd}(W) =&\,\, \sqrt{34.44}\\[3mm] =&\,\, 5.868\ldots \end{align*}

So the standard deviation of ww is 5.875.87 g (to 33 significant figures).

(e)(i)

解法一

思路

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新加入的数据正好等于原来的平均数 40.840.8,所以平均数不变。

答题过程

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The mean would not change, since the added value is equal to the current mean.

(e)(ii)

解法一

思路

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新加入的数据在正中心,不增加离均差;但数据总数增加了,所以整体离散程度会降低,标准差变小。

答题过程

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The standard deviation would decrease, because the added value is at the mean, making the data more concentrated about the mean.