Skip to content
CalcGospel 國際數學圖譜
返回

IAL 2020 Oct S2 Q3

A Level / Edexcel / S2

IAL 2020 Oct Paper · Question 3

题目

Problem

A manufacturer produces plates. The proportion of plates that are flawed is 45%, with flawed plates occurring independently.

A random sample of 10 of these plates is selected.

(a) Find the probability that the sample contains

(i) fewer than 2 flawed plates,

(ii) at least 6 flawed plates.

(4)

George believes that the proportion of flawed plates is not 45%. To assess his belief George takes a random sample of 120 plates. The random variable F represents the number of flawed plates found in the sample.

(b) Using a normal approximation, find the maximum number of plates, c, and the minimum number of plates, d, such that P(F ≤ c) ≤ 0.05 and P(F ≥ d) ≤ 0.05 where F ~ B(120, 0.45)

(7)

The manufacturer claims that, after a change to the production process, the proportion of flawed plates has decreased. A random sample of 30 plates, taken after the change to the production process, contains 8 flawed plates.

(c) Use a suitable hypothesis test, at the 5% level of significance, to assess the manufacturer’s claim. State your hypotheses clearly.

(4)

(Total for Question 3 is 15 marks)

题目中文翻译

一家制造商生产盘子。盘子有缺陷的比例为 45%,且缺陷盘子彼此独立出现。

随机抽取 10 个盘子。

(a) 求样本中:

(i) 少于 2 个有缺陷盘子的概率;

(ii) 至少 6 个有缺陷盘子的概率。

George 认为有缺陷盘子的比例不是 45%。为了检验他的看法,他抽取了 120 个盘子。随机变量 FF 表示样本中有缺陷盘子的数量。

(b) 使用正态近似,求最大的盘子数 cc 和最小的盘子数 dd,使得

P(Fc)0.05P(F \leqslant c) \leqslant 0.05P(Fd)0.05P(F \geqslant d) \leqslant 0.05

其中 FB(120,0.45)F \sim B(120,0.45)

制造商声称,在生产工艺改变后,有缺陷盘子的比例下降了。改变工艺后随机抽取 30 个盘子,其中 8 个有缺陷。

(c) 使用合适的假设检验,在 5% 显著性水平下检验制造商的说法,并清楚写出假设。

(第 3 题共 15 分)

解答