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IAL 2021 Oct S2 Q4

A Level / Edexcel / S2

IAL 2021 Oct Paper · Question 4

题目

Problem

The number of cars entering a safari park per 10-minute period can be modelled by a Poisson distribution with mean 6

(a) Find the probability that in a given 10-minute period exactly 8 cars will enter the safari park.

(2)

(b) Find the smallest value of n such that the probability that at least n cars enter the safari park in 10 minutes is less than 0.05

(2)

The probability that no cars enter the safari park in m minutes, where m is an integer, is less than 0.05

(c) Find the smallest value of m

(2)

A car enters the safari park.

(d) Find the probability that there is less than 5 minutes before the next car enters the safari park.

(3)

Given that exactly 15 cars entered the safari park in a 30-minute period,

(e) find the probability that exactly 1 car entered the safari park in the first 5 minutes of the 30-minute period.

(4)

Aston claims that the mean number of cars entering the safari park per 10-minute period is more than 6

He selects a 15-minute period at random in order to test whether there is evidence to support his claim.

(f) Determine the critical region for the test at the 5% level of significance.

(2)

(Total for Question 4 is 15 marks)

题目中文翻译

每 10 分钟进入一个野生动物园的汽车数量可用均值为 6 的泊松分布建模。

(a) 求在给定的 10 分钟内恰好有 8 辆车进入的概率。

(b) 求最小的整数 nn,使得在 10 分钟内至少有 nn 辆车进入的概率小于 0.05。

mm 分钟内没有车进入野生动物园的概率小于 0.05,其中 mm 为整数。

(c) 求最小的 mm

一辆车进入了野生动物园。

(d) 求下一辆车进入前少于 5 分钟的概率。

已知在 30 分钟内恰好有 15 辆车进入,

(e) 求在这 30 分钟的前 5 分钟内恰好有 1 辆车进入的概率。

Aston 声称每 10 分钟进入野生动物园的汽车平均数大于 6。

他随机选取一个 15 分钟的时间段,以检验是否有证据支持他的说法。

(f) 求 5% 显著性水平下的临界域。

(第 4 题共 15 分)

解答