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IAL 2023 Oct S2 Q1

A Level / Edexcel / S2

IAL 2023 Oct Paper · Question 1

题目

Problem

Sam is a telephone sales representative. For each call to a customer

• Sam either makes a sale or does not make a sale

• sales are made independently

Past records show that, for each call to a customer, the probability that Sam makes a sale is 0.2

(a) Find the probability that Sam makes

(i) exactly 2 sales in 14 calls,

(ii) more than 3 sales in 25 calls.

(4)

Sam makes n calls each day.

(b) Find the minimum value of n

(i) so that the expected number of sales each day is at least 6

(2)

(ii) so that the probability of at least 1 sale in a randomly selected day exceeds 0.95

(4)

(Total for Question 1 is 10 marks)

题目中文翻译

山姆是一名电话销售代表。对于给客户的每次通话

• 山姆要么成交要么未成交

• 销售是独立进行的

过去的记录显示,对于给客户的每次通话,山姆成交的概率为 0.2

(a) 求山姆在以下情况成交的概率

(i) 在 14 次通话中恰好成交 2 次,

(ii) 在 25 次通话中成交超过3 次。

山姆每天打 n 次电话。

(b) 求最小的 n 值

(i) 使得每天的预期成交数至少为6

(ii) 使得随机选择的一天中至少成交 1 次的概率超过 0.95

(第 1 题共 10 分)

解答