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IAL 2026 Jan S3 Q3

A Level / Edexcel / S3

IAL 2026 Jan Paper · Question 3

题目

Problem

A machine produces packets of cereal with weights, X kg, such that X ~ N(μ, σ^2).

A random sample of these packets is taken and a 95% confidence interval for μ is found to be (509.1572, 510.8428).

(a) Find a 90% confidence interval for μ based on the same sample of packets. You must show your working and give your confidence limits to one decimal place.

(b) Calculate the probability that at least 1 of these intervals will contain μ.

(8)
(Total for Question 3 is 8 marks)
题目中文翻译

某机器生产一批批谷物包装,重量 X kg,且 X ~ N(μ, σ^2)。

从这些包装中抽取一个随机样本,得到 μ 的 95% 置信区间为 (509.1572, 510.8428)。

(a) 根据同一样本,求 μ 的 90% 置信区间。你必须写出计算过程,并将置信区间端点保留到小数点后 1 位。

(b) 计算有至少 1 个这样的区间包含 μ 的概率。

解答